TSLA Regime Monitor
Wednesday, May 13, 2026
Updated 12:26 PM ET, based on TSLA close 2026-05-12
TSLA Close
$433.45
20-day SMA
$394.85
RISING (was $376.71 5d ago)
50-day SMA
$384.64
FALLING (was $391.70 20d ago)
Position
ABOVE 20
ABOVE 50
Short-term regime (v1)
UP
Position vs 20-SMA, plus 5-day slope of the 20-SMA
Long-term regime (v3)
SIDE
Position vs 50-SMA, plus 20-day slope of the 50-SMA
Today's pattern verdicts
| Pattern | Direction | Verdict | Reason |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-min W | long | TAKE | no regime restriction |
| 3-min W200 | long | TAKE | no regime restriction |
| 3-min 50T | long | TAKE | no regime restriction |
| 3-min M3 | long | TAKE | no regime restriction |
| 3-min dW | long | TAKE | no regime restriction |
| 3-min dM | long | TAKE | no regime restriction |
| 3-min DownShelf | short | TAKE | no regime restriction |
| 3-min C | bidirectional | TAKE | no regime restriction |
| 1-min Low Break | short | TAKE | v3 is SIDE and v1 is UP, Low Break safe in this combo |
| 1-min Cross-In Long | long | TAKE | v1 is UP, Cross-In Long is 100% outside DOWN |
| 1-min Cross-In Short | short | TAKE | v1 is UP, Cross-In Short is 100% outside SIDE |
| 1-min PLTR | bidirectional | SKIP | v1 is UP, PLTR cell here is 43% WR (3W/4L) |
Reference: how each rule works
| Pattern | Skip when... | Always trade when... |
|---|---|---|
| 1-min PLTR | v1 = UP | v1 is DOWN or SIDE |
| 1-min Cross-In Long | v1 = DOWN | v1 is UP or SIDE |
| 1-min Cross-In Short | v1 = SIDE | v1 is UP or DOWN |
| 1-min Low Break | v3 = UP and v1 is UP or DOWN | all other regime combos |
| 3-min W, W200, 50T, M3, dW, dM, DownShelf, C | (never skip) | always take if signal triggers |